Climate change targets must rhyme, it’s the rules

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It’s very difficult to beat the sheer stupidity of the European Union agreeing to having three climate change and energy targets for 2020 that all included the number 20.

Reduce GHG emissions by 20% from the arbitrary baseline of 1990..

Get 20% of final energy consumption from renewables. Energy consumption, not electricity as Tony Blair supposedly believed at the time.

Have energy consumption 20% lower in 2020 than what a fairy tale computer model tells you will be the energy consumption in 2020, a computer model which failed to predict the collapse of Lehman Brothers a year after the target was agreed.

The 20/20/20 targets are impossible to top. But they have provided a template for fatuous climate change targets.

So, today we have Canada telling us what their 2030 target will be.

Can you guess what it is?


2 thoughts on “Climate change targets must rhyme, it’s the rules

    Arthur Yip said:
    May 15, 2015 at 5:38 pm

    Canada: below 2005! What is the history of moving baselines in major countries/govts/deals? That could be worth investigating.


      Robert Wilson said:
      May 15, 2015 at 7:46 pm

      Well, shifting baselines are now very common. Japan did in a very brazen way, moving it from 1990 to 2005.

      Some times it is more subtle. For example, Germany changed its renewable energy targets from 2020/2030/2040 to 2025/2035/2045. But when you you look at the actual numbers, you can see they actually used the shifting baseline to cover for the fact that the target was slightly lowered.

      But there is now a split. The EU is going with 1990. The US, Canada and Japan with 2005. Of course there isn’t a chance in hell China will go with 2005, given that the coal boom really got going that year.

      The whole thing is a farce.


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