China has already exceeded its 2015 “cap” on energy consumption

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Many naive Western onlookers imagine that when China says it will cap coal consumption or emissions by 2020 or 2030 that it will be able to do so.

Last week I pointed out that in 2013 China had already exceeded its 2015 cap on coal production. And here is another one. It has also exceeded its 2015 cap on primary energy consumption.

This (non-binding) cap was decided in early 2013. China was to limit total primary energy consumption to 4 billion tonnes of coal equivalent until 2015. Yet, China’s official – and notoriously unreliable – official statistics now state that China consumed 4.26 billion tons of coal equivalent”.

So, they are already 6.5% over the energy consumption “cap” for this year that was set only two years ago.

Care to bet they will meet any of their future caps?

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2 thoughts on “China has already exceeded its 2015 “cap” on energy consumption

    Simon Evans (@DrSimEvans) said:
    March 16, 2015 at 10:16 am

    Some Chinese ‘caps’ are more equal than others:
    http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/01/24/china-energy-cap-idUSL4N0AT0OS20130124
    The energy cap was non-binding, whereas the non-fossil energy target and the intensity targets are binding
    http://www.c2es.org/international/key-country-policies/china/energy-climate-goals-twelfth-five-year-plan

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      Robert Wilson said:
      March 16, 2015 at 10:42 am

      China’s energy intensity probably declined more rapidly than any country in history. It’s emissions and energy consumption also rose more rapidly than any country in history. Energy intensity tells us very little. As does % coming from non-fossil. 20% of what in 2030?

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