Many naive Western onlookers imagine that when China says it will cap coal consumption or emissions by 2020 or 2030 that it will be able to do so.
Last week I pointed out that in 2013 China had already exceeded its 2015 cap on coal production. And here is another one. It has also exceeded its 2015 cap on primary energy consumption.
This (non-binding) cap was decided in early 2013. China was to limit total primary energy consumption to 4 billion tonnes of coal equivalent until 2015. Yet, China’s official – and notoriously unreliable – official statistics now state that China consumed 4.26 billion tons of coal equivalent”.
So, they are already 6.5% over the energy consumption “cap” for this year that was set only two years ago.
Care to bet they will meet any of their future caps?